VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
5-2-0 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
4-1-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jesper Wallstedt
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | None-None | 3.09 | 0.889 | -- |
| Jesper Wallstedt | None-None | 2.00 | 0.913 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.09
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.889
Save %
Ldr 0.913
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
35%
WILD
65%
▲ Edge: +12% (MIN)
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
52%
Book Odds: -108
WILD
53%
Book Odds: -112
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.5
42%
Under 6.5
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
VEGAS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
9.2%
VGK By 2-3 goals
6.1%
MIN By 1 goal
19.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Book Implied: 2.50
Minnesota
3.5
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Book Implied: 2.50
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Wild
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Wild
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Golden Knights (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
A
Sim
Wild (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
C
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 12, 2026
VGK @ MIN
2 - 4
Mar 6, 2026
MIN @ VGK
4 - 2
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ VGK
5 - 2
Nov 16, 2025
VGK @ MIN
2 - 3
May 1, 2025
VGK @ MIN
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.3% more
Minnesota: 14.2
vs
Vegas: 12.4
Hits (L5)
+8.6% more
Minnesota: 24.0
vs
Vegas: 22.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.9%
Minnesota: 54.8%
vs
Vegas: 51.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+14.7% more
Vegas: 4.2
vs
Minnesota: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.0
2
MIN Score
3.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 12.4
19.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
54.8 / 51.9
48.3 / 51.7
Hits
24.0 / 22.1
18.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
37.4 / 36.7
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.5 / 34.0
28.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 4.2
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -102 / -118
→
-108 / -112
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
VGK
MIN
VGK
ML
67%
10-5
67%
10-5
40%
6-9
53%
8-7
ATS
47%
7-8
47%
7-8
53%
8-7
67%
10-5
TTL
71%
10-4-1
33%
5-10
64%
9-5-1
40%
6-9
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