BALTIMORE
RAVENSBAL
4-2 | Road
10
CLEVELAND
BROWNSCLE
4-2 | Home
13
Key Game
KEY GAME
Ryan Eckley
#30 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Corey Bojorquez
#13 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Ryan Eckley | None-None |
| Corey Bojorquez | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAVENS
68%
BROWNS
32%
▲ Edge: +4.60% (BAL)
RAVENS
63%
Book Odds: -171
BROWNS
39%
Book Odds: +154
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.4
Projected
Book Total
39.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +7.9 (Over)
Over 39.5
73%
Under 39.5
27%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
-3
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Baltimore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around BAL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)
BAL By 1-6 points
16.9%
BAL By 7-13 points
18.5%
CLE By 1-6 points
14.2%
CLE By 7-13 points
11.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Baltimore
26.2
BALTIMORE
Book Implied: 21.20
Cleveland
21.2
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 18.20
Simulated Score
Baltimore
24
BALTIMORE
Book Implied: 21.20
Cleveland
17
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 18.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Ravens
Loss
68% Win Prob
B
Sim
Ravens
Loss
75% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ravens (-3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
C
Sim
Ravens (-3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o39.5
Loss
Proj Total: 47.4
A
Sim
o39.5
Loss
Proj Total: 41.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 18, 2026
BAL @ CLE
10 - 13
Nov 16, 2025
BAL @ CLE
23 - 16
Sep 14, 2025
CLE @ BAL
17 - 41
Jan 4, 2025
CLE @ BAL
10 - 35
Oct 27, 2024
BAL @ CLE
24 - 29
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+40.8% more
Baltimore: 170.2
vs
Cleveland: 100.7
Total Yards (L5)
+29.7% more
Baltimore: 385.7
vs
Cleveland: 271.2
Yards Per Play (L5)
+27.0% more
Baltimore: 6.1
vs
Cleveland: 4.5
First Downs (L5)
+24.5% more
Baltimore: 21.7
vs
Cleveland: 16.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BAL Score
26.2
10
CLE Score
21.2
13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
16.4 / 21.7
14.0 / 13.0
Net Passing Yards
170.5 / 215.4
144.0 / 148.0
Rushing Yards
100.7 / 170.2
93.0 / 87.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.4
0.31 / 0.38
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards
271.2 / 385.7
237.0 / 235.0
Turnovers
1.6 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
4.5 / 6.1
4.0 / 4.1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -250 / +205
→
-171 / +154
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -6.5 / +6.5
→
-3 / +3
↑
Total (O/U)
Open: 44.5
→
39.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL
4-3-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
CLE
Advantage
5-2-0
(71.4%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
2-5-0
(28.6%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
CLE
Advantage
5-2-0
(71.4%)
Margin: -1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
4-3-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.9
CLE
4-3-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
BAL
CLE
BAL
ML
29%
2-5
57%
4-3
57%
4-3
43%
3-4
ATS
43%
3-4
33%
2-4-1
43%
3-4
83%
5-1-1
TTL
57%
4-3
29%
2-5
43%
3-4
29%
2-5
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