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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

0-2-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Oct 3 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

2-1-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
@
Leevi Merilainen
GOALTENDER

Leevi Merilainen

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Devin Cooley None-None 3.01 0.880 --
Leevi Merilainen None-None 1.00 0.958 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.01 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.880 Save % Ldr 0.958
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
59%
📊
CANUCKS
41%
▲ Edge: +9.20% (CGY)
FLAMES 50% Book Odds: -100
CANUCKS 52% Book Odds: -110
Book Implied: 50% / 52.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.0 42%
Under 6.0 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
CALGARY
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Calgary)
FlamesCGY (+1.5) 0 CanucksVAN (-1.5)
Calgary Flames (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

77.3%

Canucks Cover

22.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

CGY By 1 goal

19.1%

CGY By 2-3 goals

34.1%

VAN By 1 goal

9.2%

VAN By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.5
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.20
2
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
4
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.20
2
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Sim Flames Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Flames (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.5
A
Sim Flames (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.5
C
Sim o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 CGY @ VAN 1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026 VAN @ CGY 3 - 7
Nov 23, 2025 CGY @ VAN 5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025 CGY @ VAN 1 - 5
Oct 1, 2025 VAN @ CGY 8 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +9.4% more
Calgary: 25.0 vs Vancouver: 22.7
Faceoff % (L5) +5.3%
Calgary: 51.7% vs Vancouver: 46.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +99.6% more
Vancouver: 18.0 vs Calgary: 9.0
Power Play % (L5) +44.4%
Vancouver: 44.4% vs Calgary: 0.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 3.5 1
VAN Score 2.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 18.0 / 9.0 21.0 / 22.0
Faceoff % 46.4 / 51.7 47.4 / 52.6
Hits 20.1 / 17.5 34.0 / 28.0
Power Play % 44.4 / 0.0 0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 22.7 / 25.0 26.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 3.5 / 3.7 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -110 / -110 → -100 / -110
37%TICKETS63%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
20%TICKETS80%
2%MONEY98%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6 ↓
94%TICKETS6%
95%MONEY5%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
CGY
VAN
CGY
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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