Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Georgia Tech @ Stanford GT @ STAN

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

1-3  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sat, Sep 26 • 10:30 PM ET
Stanford Stadium
View Odds Details →

STANFORD

STANFORDSTAN

2-2  |  Home

34
Key Game
Alex Bacchetta
KEY GAME

Alex Bacchetta

#47 | Punter
@
Aidan Flintoft
KEY GAME

Aidan Flintoft

#37 | Punter
Player
Alex Bacchetta None-None
Aidan Flintoft None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GEORGIA TECH
70%
📊
STANFORD
30%
▲ Edge: +9.40% (GT)
GEORGIA TECH 61% Book Odds: -155
STANFORD 44% Book Odds: +130
Book Implied: 60.80% / 43.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.4
Projected
Book Total
48.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +3.1 (Under)
Over 48.5 44%
Under 48.5 56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
-3
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Georgia Tech)
Georgia TechGT (-3) 0 StanfordSTAN (+3)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-3) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Georgia Tech Cover

74.0%

Stanford Cover

26.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

GT By 1-6 points

15.7%

GT By 7-13 points

19.7%

STAN By 1-6 points

11.5%

STAN By 7-13 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
27.2
GEORGIA TECH
Book Implied: 25.80
18.2
STANFORD
Book Implied: 22.80
Simulated Score
28
GEORGIA TECH
Book Implied: 25.80
27
STANFORD
Book Implied: 22.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Georgia Tech Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Sim Georgia Tech Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Georgia Tech (-3) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
B
Sim Stanford (+3) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 45.4
C
Sim o48.5 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 26, 2026 GT @ STAN 27 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +39.6% more
Georgia Tech: 131.4 vs Stanford: 79.3
Total Yards (L5) +26.0% more
Georgia Tech: 377.0 vs Stanford: 279.1
First Downs (L5) +22.0% more
Georgia Tech: 21.1 vs Stanford: 16.4
Turnovers (L5) +13.7% more
Georgia Tech: 1.0 vs Stanford: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GT Score 27.2 27
STAN Score 18.2 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.4 / 21.1 22.0 / 25.0
Rushing Yards 79.3 / 131.4 86.0 / 163.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.36 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 279.1 / 377.0 482.0 / 431.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.0 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -177 / +149 → -155 / +130 ↑
94%TICKETS6%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -3.5 / +3.5 → -3 / +3 ↑
74%TICKETS26%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: 48 → 48.5 ↑
77%TICKETS23%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -4.8
STAN
2-4-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -25.8 ATS +/-: -11.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -4.8
STAN Advantage
2-4-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -25.8 ATS +/-: -11.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +0.9
STAN
5-1-0
O: 83.3% / U: 16.7% Total +/-: +6.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STAN
GT
STAN
GT
ML
83% 5-1
40% 2-3
83% 5-1
40% 2-3
ATS
50% 3-3
40% 2-3
67% 4-2
80% 4-1
TTL
33% 2-4
40% 2-3
67% 4-2
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeremiah Smith Nears Big Ten Touchdown Record After Historic Str…
yahoo 7 minutes ago
BYU vs. Notre Dame: One Foot Down Preview, Key Matchups, and Pre…
yahoo 17 hours, 56 minutes ago
New England High School Football Player of the Week: 12 Stars Up…
si 18 hours, 6 minutes ago
SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey Threatens Independent Rule-Making i…
wsls 1 day, 12 hours ago
Raiders' Ashton Jeanty Injury: Fantasy Football Fallout and Back…
si 1 day, 17 hours ago