Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ Cardinals SEA @ ARI

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

2-0  |  Road

31
FINAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:25 PM ET
State Farm Stadium
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

1-1  |  Home

7
Key Game
Michael Dickson
KEY GAME

Michael Dickson

#4 | Punter
@
Blake Gillikin
KEY GAME

Blake Gillikin

#12 | Punter
Player
Michael Dickson None-None
Blake Gillikin None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
79%
📊
CARDINALS
21%
▲ Edge: +10.80% (SEA)
SEAHAWKS 69% Book Odds: -218
CARDINALS 36% Book Odds: +180
Book Implied: 68.60% / 35.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
40.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +6.5 (Over)
Over 40.5 69%
Under 40.5 31%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
-3.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (Seattle)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 CardinalsARI (+3.5)
Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

74.0%

Cardinals Cover

26.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-6 points

15.7%

SEA By 7-13 points

19.7%

ARI By 1-6 points

11.5%

ARI By 7-13 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
28
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 22
19
ARIZONA
Book Implied: 18.50
Simulated Score
17
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 22
27
ARIZONA
Book Implied: 18.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Seahawks Win
79% Win Prob
A
Sim Cardinals Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Seahawks (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
B
Sim Cardinals (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o40.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
A
Sim o40.5 Loss
Proj Total: 44.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 SEA @ ARI 31 - 7
Nov 9, 2025 ARI @ SEA 22 - 44
Sep 25, 2025 SEA @ ARI 23 - 20
Dec 8, 2024 SEA @ ARI 30 - 18
Nov 24, 2024 ARI @ SEA 6 - 16
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +45.4% more
Arizona: 23.1 vs Seattle: 15.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +32.4% more
Arizona: 282.7 vs Seattle: 213.5
Total Yards (L5) +24.7% more
Arizona: 390.6 vs Seattle: 313.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +16.0% more
Arizona: 0.5 vs Seattle: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 28.0 31
ARI Score 19.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.1 / 15.9 10.0 / 23.0
Net Passing Yards 282.7 / 213.5 81.0 / 219.0
Rushing Yards 107.9 / 99.7 70.0 / 162.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.25 / 0.46
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.39 / 0.61
Total Yards 390.6 / 313.2 151.0 / 381.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.0 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 5.8 3.2 / 5.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -535 / +400 → -218 / +180 ↑
92%TICKETS8%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -10 / +10 → -3.5 / +3.5 ↑
63%TICKETS37%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: 44.5 → 40.5 ↓
78%TICKETS22%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
2-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 13.5 ATS +/-: +9.8
ARI
1-1-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA Advantage
1-0-1 (100.0%)
Margin: 13.5 ATS +/-: +9.8
ARI
1-1-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
0-2-0
O: 0.0% / U: 100.0% Total +/-: -12.5
ARI
0-2-0
O: 0.0% / U: 100.0% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
SEA
ARI
SEA
ML
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
ATS
100% 2-0
100% 1-0-1
0% 0-2
0% 0-1-1
TTL
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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