Key Game
KEY GAME
Bobby Engstler
#38 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Jack Olsen
#82 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Bobby Engstler | None-None |
| Jack Olsen | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
FLORIDA A&M
3%
MIAMI
97%
FLORIDA A&M
--
MIAMI
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
61.0
Projected
Book Total
65.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +4.0 (Under)
Over 65.0
39%
Under 65.0
61%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+36.0
FLORIDA A&M
Book Spread
+59.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.5 points (Florida A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around FAMU +36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAMU)
FAMU By 1-6 points
0.3%
FAMU By 7-13 points
0.1%
MIA By 1-6 points
1.2%
MIA By 7-13 points
3.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida A&M
12.5
FLORIDA A&M
Book Implied: 2.80
Miami
48.5
MIAMI
Book Implied: 62.20
Simulated Score
Florida A&M
15
FLORIDA A&M
Book Implied: 2.80
Miami
35
MIAMI
Book Implied: 62.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Miami
Win
97% Win Prob
A
Sim
Miami
Win
98% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Florida A&M (+59.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: +36.0
A
Sim
Florida A&M (+59.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: +20.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u65.0
Loss
Proj Total: 61.0
A
Sim
u65.0
Loss
Proj Total: 50.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
FAMU @ MIA
7 - 77
Sep 7, 2024
FAMU @ MIA
9 - 56
Sep 3, 2016
FAMU @ MIA
3 - 70
Sep 6, 2014
FAMU @ MIA
7 - 41
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+122.8% more
Miami: 132.3
vs
Florida A&M: 59.4
Total Yards (L5)
+62.6% more
Miami: 487.4
vs
Florida A&M: 299.7
First Downs (L5)
+46.2% more
Miami: 24.6
vs
Florida A&M: 16.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+36.0% more
Miami: 0.6
vs
Florida A&M: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score
12.5
7
MIA Score
48.5
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
24.6 / 16.8
42.0 / 4.0
Rushing Yards
132.3 / 59.4
430.0 / 37.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.6 / 0.3
0.33 / 0.07
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.62 / 0.38
Total Yards
487.4 / 299.7
856.0 / 107.0
Turnovers
1.3 / 1.3
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: 0 / 0
→
-- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +56.5 / -56.5
→
+59.5 / -59.5
↑
Total (O/U)
Open: 62.5
→
65
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
--
MIA
Advantage
5-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 39.8
ATS +/-: +8.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU
--
MIA
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 39.8
ATS +/-: +8.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
--
MIA
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
FAMU
MIA
FAMU
ML
100%
5-0
100%
1-0
100%
5-0
100%
1-0
ATS
40%
2-3
0%
0-1
20%
1-4
0%
0-1
TTL
60%
3-2
0%
0-1
60%
3-2
0%
0-1