MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
76-48 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
74-50 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Misiorowski
#32 | SP@
STARTING PITCHER
Justin Wrobleski
#70 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | 11-5 | 1.76 | 0.74 | 133.0 | 204 |
| Justin Wrobleski | 11-4 | 3.44 | 1.11 | 120.1 | 94 |
11-5
W-L
11-4
1.76 Ldr
ERA
3.44
0.74 Ldr
WHIP
1.11
133.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
120.1
204 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
94
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
62%
DODGERS
38%
▲ Edge: +5.90% (MIL)
BREWERS
57%
Book Odds: -130
DODGERS
47%
Book Odds: +115
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.1
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.6 (Over)
Over 7.5
66%
Under 7.5
34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD +1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.0%
LAD By 1-2 runs
15.5%
LAD By 3-4 runs
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.50
Los Angeles
3.9
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.50
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.3
D
Sim
Dodgers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.1
A
Sim
u7.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 15, 2026
MIL @ LAD
6 - 4
Oct 14, 2026
MIL @ LAD
6 - 2
Oct 12, 2026
LAD @ MIL
4 - 7
Oct 11, 2026
LAD @ MIL
1 - 2
Aug 16, 2026
MIL @ LAD
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.743
OPS
▲
.762
154
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+52.6% more
Milwaukee: 5.4
vs
Los Angeles: 2.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+12.4% more
Milwaukee: 10.2
vs
Los Angeles: 8.9
Runs per Game (Season)
+3.9% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Los Angeles: 4.9
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.3%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Los Angeles: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.2
4
LAD Score
3.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.3 / 6.7
5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.4
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 10.2
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.4 / 9.1
7.0 / 11.0
Walks
2.6 / 5.4
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -136 / +113
→
-130 / +115
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
7.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
113-61-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-:
LAD
103-67-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(53.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-:
LAD
(42.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
78-91-5
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAD
75-90-5
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
MIL
LAD
MIL
ML
54%
92-77
61%
104-66
48%
81-89
52%
89-81
ATS
58%
98-71
56%
95-75
44%
75-95
48%
82-88
TTL
49%
80-83-6
41%
67-95-8
45%
73-91-6
51%
83-79-8
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