BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
31-43 | Road
5
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
39-39 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Garrett Whitlock
#22 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Rucker
#38 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Whitlock | None-None | 2.78 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Michael Rucker | None-None | 4.50 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.78 Ldr
ERA
4.50
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
RED SOX
50%
MARINERS
50%
RED SOX
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
BOS By 1-2 runs
16.3%
BOS By 3-4 runs
10.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim
Red Sox (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
SEA @ BOS
8 - 3
Sep 1, 2026
SEA @ BOS
9 - 6
Aug 31, 2026
SEA @ BOS
8 - 9
Jun 21, 2026
BOS @ SEA
1 - 3
Jun 20, 2026
BOS @ SEA
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Boston
BOS
vs
Seattle
SEA
2
Games Played
▲
162
1.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.10
.117
Avg (AVG)
▲
.233
.159
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.314
.250
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.379
.409
OPS
▲
.693
2
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+9000.0% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+310.0% more
Seattle: 4.1
vs
Boston: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+50.0% more
Seattle: 0.6
vs
Boston: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+31.7% more
Seattle: 10.2
vs
Boston: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
4.0
5
SEA Score
5.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.1
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
4.9 / 8.1
2.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 7.7
11.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
8.3 / 13.8
2.0 / 9.0
Walks
1.6 / 2.4
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
BOS
SEA
BOS
ML
50%
81-81
50%
80-80
52%
85-77
47%
76-87
ATS
60%
98-64
58%
93-67
59%
95-67
48%
79-84
TTL
56%
85-67-10
46%
72-83-5
53%
81-71-10
47%
74-83-6
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