IDAHO
VANDALSIDHO
21-15 | Road
47
HOUSTON
COUGARSHOU
30-7 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
VANDALS
60%
COUGARS
40%
VANDALS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
IDHO By 1-7 points
23.0%
IDHO By 8-14 points
12.2%
HOU By 1-7 points
26.8%
HOU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Idaho
78
IDAHO
Houston
80
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Idaho
IDAHO
Houston
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Win
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (+24.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
IDHO @ HOU
47 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+67.7% more
Houston: 3.7
vs
Idaho: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+43.1% more
Houston: 12.6
vs
Idaho: 8.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.0%
Houston: 41.1%
vs
Idaho: 29.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+9.8% more
Houston: 9.3
vs
Idaho: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score
78.0
47
HOU Score
80.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.1 / 29.1
53.0 / 20.0
Assists
12.6 / 8.8
10.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.7 / 2.2
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 45.5
50.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 70.9
73.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 39.2
47.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.8
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 8.5
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
HOU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
HOU
Advantage
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
IDHO
HOU
IDHO
ML
70%
26-11
56%
20-16
68%
23-11
64%
21-12
ATS
70%
26-11
58%
21-15
68%
23-11
64%
21-12
TTL
59%
22-15
69%
25-11
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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