AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
57%
TIGERS
43%
REDHAWKS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEA -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-7 points
24.3%
SEA By 8-14 points
26.8%
PAC By 1-7 points
12.2%
PAC By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
77
SEATTLE U
Pacific
68
PACIFIC
Simulated Score
Seattle U
SEATTLE U
Pacific
PACIFIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks
Loss
57% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o129.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
SEA @ PAC
58 - 61
Jan 24, 2026
SEA @ PAC
54 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+59.3% more
Seattle U: 3.3
vs
Pacific: 1.3
Steals (L5)
+55.6% more
Seattle U: 7.8
vs
Pacific: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
Seattle U: 72.2%
vs
Pacific: 68.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+30.5% more
Pacific: 12.6
vs
Seattle U: 9.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
77.0
58
PAC Score
68.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 27.7
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.0 / 12.2
16.0 / 12.0
Blocks
1.3 / 3.3
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 43.6
38.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
68.1 / 72.2
67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 29.7
40.0 / 34.0
Steals
3.5 / 7.8
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 9.7
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
PAC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
PAC
Advantage
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PAC
SEA
PAC
SEA
ML
45%
15-18
46%
16-19
80%
24-6
71%
24-10
ATS
55%
18-15
57%
20-15
80%
24-6
71%
24-10
TTL
58%
19-14
49%
17-18
100%
30-0
100%
34-0