HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
0-0 | Road
122
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
1-0 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKETS
90%
76ERS
10%
ROCKETS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
HOU By 1-7 points
24.7%
HOU By 8-14 points
14.3%
PHI By 1-7 points
25.9%
PHI By 8-14 points
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
108.31
HOUSTON
Philadelphia
108.91
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Houston
HOUSTON
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Loss
10% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
PHI @ HOU
102 - 113
Jan 22, 2026
HOU @ PHI
122 - 128
Mar 17, 2025
PHI @ HOU
137 - 144
Nov 27, 2024
HOU @ PHI
122 - 115
Jan 15, 2024
HOU @ PHI
115 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+9.4% more
Philadelphia: 13.9
vs
Houston: 12.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.6%
Philadelphia: 82.6%
vs
Houston: 80.9%
Rebounding (L5)
+20.3% more
Houston: 47.4
vs
Philadelphia: 37.8
Blocks (L5)
+14.4% more
Houston: 6.4
vs
Philadelphia: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
108.3
122
PHI Score
108.9
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 34.2
36.4 / 32.3
Assists
22.7 / 25.5
19.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.5 / 6.4
7.0 / 14.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 43.3
44.8 / 45.5
Free Throw %
82.6 / 80.9
73.9 / 84.2
Rebounding
37.8 / 47.4
42.0 / 51.0
Steals
10.1 / 11.2
12.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 12.7
16.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
HOU
PHI
HOU
ML
63%
69-40
61%
69-44
48%
45-48
59%
51-35
ATS
65%
71-38
62%
70-43
48%
45-48
59%
51-35
TTL
55%
60-49
51%
58-55
100%
93-0
100%
86-0
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