MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
1-1 | Road
130
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
0-1 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
50%
KINGS
50%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
MIN By 1-7 points
21.4%
MIN By 8-14 points
10.4%
SAC By 1-7 points
27.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
20.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
111.66
MINNESOTA
Sacramento
114.83
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
MINNESOTA
Sacramento
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
103 - 117
Nov 24, 2025
MIN @ SAC
112 - 117
Nov 14, 2025
SAC @ MIN
110 - 124
Nov 9, 2025
MIN @ SAC
144 - 117
Feb 3, 2025
SAC @ MIN
116 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.4% more
Sacramento: 26.9
vs
Minnesota: 21.9
Blocks (L5)
+20.4% more
Sacramento: 5.2
vs
Minnesota: 4.3
Rebounding (L5)
+8.6% more
Sacramento: 44.0
vs
Minnesota: 40.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Sacramento: 52.3%
vs
Minnesota: 45.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
111.7
130
SAC Score
114.8
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 31.0
32.4 / 40.8
Assists
26.9 / 21.9
21.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.3
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
52.3 / 45.1
50.0 / 47.5
Free Throw %
81.1 / 82.5
90.0 / 87.5
Rebounding
44.0 / 40.6
51.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.1 / 11.1
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 17.7
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
MIN
SAC
MIN
ML
55%
55-45
54%
63-53
61%
50-32
54%
50-43
ATS
54%
52-45-3
58%
67-49
61%
50-32
54%
50-43
TTL
58%
57-42-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
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