SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
37-34 | Road
3
WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
35-35 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Orlando Ribalta
#64 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 2.30 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Orlando Ribalta | None-None | 1.80 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.30
ERA
Ldr 1.80
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
59%
NATIONALS
41%
MARINERS
--
NATIONALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
18.4%
WSH By 1-2 runs
13.6%
WSH By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Washington
5
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nationals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Mariners (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Sim
u9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
SEA @ WSH
1 - 10
Jun 13, 2026
SEA @ WSH
3 - 8
Jun 12, 2026
SEA @ WSH
10 - 2
May 29, 2025
WSH @ SEA
9 - 3
May 28, 2025
WSH @ SEA
9 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Washington
WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
5.07
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.246
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.321
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.423
.693
OPS
▲
.744
182
Home Runs
▲
210
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+30.0% more
Seattle: 8.1
vs
Washington: 5.7
Home Runs (L5)
+22.3% more
Seattle: 2.1
vs
Washington: 1.6
Hits (L5)
+15.7% more
Seattle: 9.3
vs
Washington: 7.8
Total Bases (L5)
+15.0% more
Seattle: 16.5
vs
Washington: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
6.0
3
WSH Score
4.0
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.3
1.0 / 3.0
Hits
7.8 / 9.3
10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 2.1
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
5.7 / 8.1
8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
14.0 / 16.5
16.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.7 / 2.5
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
WSH
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SEA
WSH
SEA
ML
57%
92-69
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
93-68
60%
98-64
57%
91-70
59%
95-67
TTL
50%
77-78-6
56%
85-67-10
42%
65-90-6
53%
81-71-10
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