NEW YORK
METSNYM
26-35 | Road
7
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
33-29 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Torrens
#13 | Catcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Ferrer
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Torrens | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jose Ferrer | None-None | 1.63 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
1.63
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
METS
25%
MARINERS
75%
METS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
NYM By 1-2 runs
10.6%
NYM By 3-4 runs
5.4%
SEA By 1-2 runs
18.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Loss
75% Win Prob
B
Sim
Mariners
Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Mariners (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 3, 2026
NYM @ SEA
7 - 1
Jun 2, 2026
NYM @ SEA
3 - 8
Jun 1, 2026
NYM @ SEA
2 - 3
Aug 17, 2025
SEA @ NYM
3 - 7
Aug 16, 2025
SEA @ NYM
1 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYM
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.239
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.314
.395
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.705
▲
OPS
.693
204
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+61.3% more
Seattle: 9.3
vs
New York: 5.8
Total Bases (L5)
+42.1% more
Seattle: 18.1
vs
New York: 12.7
Home Runs (L5)
+27.5% more
Seattle: 2.6
vs
New York: 2.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+14.2% more
Seattle: 10.0
vs
New York: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYM Score
3.0
7
SEA Score
6.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.0
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.3 / 5.8
6.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
2.6 / 2.0
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.0 / 8.8
10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
18.1 / 12.7
10.0 / 17.0
Walks
1.8 / 3.6
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
NYM
SEA
NYM
ML
50%
81-81
50%
79-80
52%
85-77
48%
76-83
ATS
60%
98-64
58%
93-66
59%
95-67
49%
78-81
TTL
56%
85-67-10
55%
80-66-13
53%
81-71-10
51%
74-72-13
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