CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
25-23 | Road
4
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
23-27 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jordan Hicks
#44 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Ferrer
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hicks | None-None | 5.60 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Jose Ferrer | None-None | 1.90 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.60
ERA
Ldr 1.90
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
MARINERS
0%
WHITE SOX
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 20, 2026
CHW @ SEA
4 - 5
May 19, 2026
CHW @ SEA
2 - 1
May 18, 2026
CHW @ SEA
1 - 6
May 10, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 2
May 9, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Seattle
SEA
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.826
▲
OPS
.693
1
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18100.0% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+11.9% more
Seattle: 10.8
vs
Chicago: 9.7
Home Runs (L5)
+45.0% more
Chicago: 1.4
vs
Seattle: 0.8
Errors (L5)
+41.0% more
Chicago: 0.5
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.0
4
SEA Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
4.7 / 6.8
7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.4
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.8 / 9.7
11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
7.9 / 12.3
17.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.2 / 3.9
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CHW
SEA
CHW
ML
50%
81-81
49%
81-86
52%
85-77
56%
94-73
ATS
60%
98-64
59%
99-68
59%
95-67
56%
93-74
TTL
56%
85-67-10
58%
96-69-2
53%
81-71-10
51%
84-81-2
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