TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
23-25 | Road
5
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
19-30 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Alexander
#13 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Mejia
#47 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Alexander | None-None | 1.96 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Juan Mejia | None-None | 3.80 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.96 Ldr
ERA
3.80
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
ROCKIES
0%
RANGERS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
TEX By 1-2 runs
16.3%
TEX By 3-4 runs
10.6%
COL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
5
TEXAS
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Rockies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o10.0
Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
u10.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 20, 2026
TEX @ COL
5 - 4
May 19, 2026
TEX @ COL
10 - 0
May 18, 2026
TEX @ COL
6 - 7
May 14, 2025
COL @ TEX
3 - 8
May 13, 2025
COL @ TEX
1 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.713
OPS
▲
.739
183
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+51.8% more
Colorado: 4.7
vs
Texas: 3.1
Runs per Game (Season)
+11.8% more
Colorado: 4.6
vs
Texas: 4.2
OPS (Season)
+2.6%
Colorado: 73.9%
vs
Texas: 71.3%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.1%
Colorado: 41.7%
vs
Texas: 39.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
5.0
5
COL Score
6.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.3 / 10.3
8.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
0.2 / 1.0
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.0 / 7.5
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
8.5 / 16.6
10.0 / 20.0
Walks
4.7 / 3.1
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
TEX
COL
TEX
ML
60%
97-64
53%
86-76
55%
88-73
57%
91-70
ATS
60%
97-64
57%
92-70
52%
83-78
61%
98-63
TTL
60%
93-62-6
53%
78-70-14
50%
77-78-6
55%
81-66-14
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