CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
24-22 | Road
1
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
22-26 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Richards
#43 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Richards | None-None | 9.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 5.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
9.00
ERA
Ldr 5.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
MARINERS
0%
WHITE SOX
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
CHW By 1-2 runs
7.8%
CHW By 3-4 runs
3.5%
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Seattle
7
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim
Mariners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.0
Push
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
o7.0
Push
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 20, 2026
CHW @ SEA
4 - 5
May 19, 2026
CHW @ SEA
2 - 1
May 18, 2026
CHW @ SEA
1 - 6
May 10, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 2
May 9, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Seattle
SEA
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.826
▲
OPS
.693
1
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18100.0% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+11.2% more
Seattle: 8.4
vs
Chicago: 7.5
Home Runs (L5)
+72.9% more
Chicago: 2.7
vs
Seattle: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+53.5% more
Chicago: 19.4
vs
Seattle: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.0
1
SEA Score
7.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
5.9 / 9.4
8.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 2.7
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 7.5
11.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
9.0 / 19.4
16.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.4 / 5.3
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CHW
SEA
CHW
ML
50%
81-81
48%
81-87
52%
85-77
56%
94-74
ATS
60%
98-64
59%
99-69
59%
95-67
55%
93-75
TTL
56%
85-67-10
58%
97-69-2
53%
81-71-10
51%
85-81-2
Contextual Game News
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