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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

22-24  |  Road

6
FINAL
Mon, May 18 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

18-29  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Jakob Junis
STARTING PITCHER

Jakob Junis

#16 | Relief Pitcher
@
Juan Mejia
STARTING PITCHER

Juan Mejia

#47 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jakob Junis None-None 1.80 -- 1.0 --
Juan Mejia None-None 3.91 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
1.80 Ldr ERA 3.91
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
📊
ROCKIES
100%
RANGERS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Texas)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

84.1%

Rockies Cover

15.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

TEX By 1-2 runs

16.3%

TEX By 3-4 runs

19.6%

COL By 1-2 runs

7.8%

COL By 3-4 runs

3.5%

AI Model Projected Score
7
TEXAS
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rangers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim Rockies (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim o9.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 20, 2026 TEX @ COL 5 - 4
May 19, 2026 TEX @ COL 10 - 0
May 18, 2026 TEX @ COL 6 - 7
May 14, 2025 COL @ TEX 3 - 8
May 13, 2025 COL @ TEX 1 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.713
OPS
▲ .739
183 ▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +63.0% more
Texas: 1.0 vs Colorado: 0.4
Strikeouts (L5) +8.6% more
Texas: 7.8 vs Colorado: 7.2
Errors (L5) +78.0% more
Colorado: 0.9 vs Texas: 0.2
Walks (L5) +48.9% more
Colorado: 4.1 vs Texas: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 7.0 6
COL Score 3.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.2 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 8.3 / 6.1 7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 1.0 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.2 / 7.8 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 11.9 / 10.5 10.0 / 16.0
Walks 4.1 / 2.8 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
TEX
COL
TEX
ML
60% 97-64
53% 86-76
55% 88-73
57% 91-70
ATS
60% 97-64
57% 92-70
52% 83-78
61% 98-63
TTL
60% 93-62-6
53% 78-70-14
50% 77-78-6
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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