ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
27-13 | Road
7
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
24-15 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bryce Elder
#55 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Justin Wrobleski
#70 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | None-None | 1.81 | -- | 5.2 | 8 |
| Justin Wrobleski | None-None | 2.42 | -- | 8.2 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.81 Ldr
ERA
2.42
--
WHIP
--
5.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 8.2
8 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
7
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
DODGERS
0%
BRAVES
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
ATL By 1-2 runs
10.6%
ATL By 3-4 runs
5.4%
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.4%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
2
ATLANTA
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Atlanta
3
ATLANTA
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Dodgers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u9.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
LAD @ ATL
4 - 1
Oct 6, 2026
LAD @ ATL
3 - 1
Oct 4, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 2
Oct 3, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 5
Aug 27, 2026
LAD @ ATL
0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.324
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.424
.757
OPS
▲
.762
1
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+20300.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+52.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.1
vs
Atlanta: 0.6
Errors (L5)
+16.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.4
vs
Atlanta: 0.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+8.5% more
Los Angeles: 10.1
vs
Atlanta: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
2.0
7
LAD Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.7 / 9.2
2.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.6
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.1 / 9.3
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
13.0 / 12.4
5.0 / 16.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.8
1.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ATL
LAD
ATL
ML
56%
92-73
46%
77-90
48%
79-87
54%
90-78
ATS
59%
98-67
57%
96-71
43%
72-94
52%
87-81
TTL
48%
77-82-6
53%
83-73-11
44%
70-90-6
49%
76-80-11
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