SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
19-21 | Road
1
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
18-21 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Seranthony Dominguez
#58 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Hudson
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Dominguez | None-None | 3.45 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Bryan Hudson | None-None | 0.95 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.45
ERA
Ldr 0.95
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
0%
WHITE SOX
100%
MARINERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 20, 2026
CHW @ SEA
4 - 5
May 19, 2026
CHW @ SEA
2 - 1
May 18, 2026
CHW @ SEA
1 - 6
May 10, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 2
May 9, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.693
OPS
▲
.826
182
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.5% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+16.0% more
Seattle: 9.3
vs
Chicago: 7.8
Errors (L5)
+80.0% more
Chicago: 0.9
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Walks (L5)
+47.2% more
Chicago: 3.4
vs
Seattle: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.0
1
CHW Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.1
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.6 / 7.0
5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 1.4
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 9.3
12.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
15.9 / 11.8
10.0 / 10.0
Walks
3.4 / 2.3
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
SEA
CHW
SEA
ML
49%
81-86
50%
81-81
56%
94-73
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
99-68
60%
98-64
56%
93-74
59%
95-67
TTL
58%
96-69-2
56%
85-67-10
51%
84-81-2
53%
81-71-10
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