Home / MLB Projections MLB / Mariners @ White Sox SEA @ CHW

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

19-20  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, May 9 • 7:10 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

17-21  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Cole Young
STARTING PITCHER

Cole Young

#2 | Second Base
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Schweitzer

#62 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Cole Young None-None -- -- -- --
Tyler Schweitzer None-None 3.86 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.86
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
0%
📊
WHITE SOX
100%
MARINERS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Seattle)
MarinersSEA (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mariners Cover

77.3%

White Sox Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-2 runs

18.4%

SEA By 3-4 runs

19.6%

CHW By 1-2 runs

10.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
7
SEATTLE
4
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
SEATTLE
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mariners Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mariners (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim White Sox (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u9.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 20, 2026 CHW @ SEA 4 - 5
May 19, 2026 CHW @ SEA 2 - 1
May 18, 2026 CHW @ SEA 1 - 6
May 10, 2026 SEA @ CHW 1 - 2
May 9, 2026 SEA @ CHW 1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle SEA
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.10
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.693
OPS
▲ .826
182 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.5% more
Seattle: 182.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +39.2% more
Seattle: 2.1 vs Chicago: 1.3
Strikeouts (L5) +19.1% more
Seattle: 9.0 vs Chicago: 7.3
Total Bases (L5) +11.7% more
Seattle: 15.7 vs Chicago: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 7.0 1
CHW Score 4.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.2 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.5 / 8.5 9.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 2.1 3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.3 / 9.0 9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 13.9 / 15.7 20.0 / 4.0
Walks 3.2 / 2.5 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
SEA
CHW
SEA
ML
49% 81-86
50% 81-81
56% 94-73
52% 85-77
ATS
59% 99-68
60% 98-64
56% 93-74
59% 95-67
TTL
58% 96-69-2
56% 85-67-10
51% 84-81-2
53% 81-71-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
si 0 minutes ago
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 7 minutes ago
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
yardbarker 7 minutes ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 5 hours, 46 minutes ago