SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
18-20 | Road
12
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
17-20 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Seranthony Dominguez
#58 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Richards
#43 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seranthony Dominguez | None-None | 3.68 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Trevor Richards | None-None | 6.75 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.68 Ldr
ERA
6.75
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
WHITE SOX
0%
MARINERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
15.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
10.6%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
7
SEATTLE
Chicago
8
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 15.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 20, 2026
CHW @ SEA
4 - 5
May 19, 2026
CHW @ SEA
2 - 1
May 18, 2026
CHW @ SEA
1 - 6
May 10, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 2
May 9, 2026
SEA @ CHW
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.693
OPS
▲
.826
182
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+46.3% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Walks (L5)
+43.1% more
Chicago: 3.2
vs
Seattle: 2.3
Hits (L5)
+13.6% more
Chicago: 7.7
vs
Seattle: 6.8
OPS (Season)
+13.3%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
7.0
12
CHW Score
8.0
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.7 / 6.8
10.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.1
2.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 10.0
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
11.3 / 11.6
19.0 / 24.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.3
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-80-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
SEA
CHW
SEA
ML
48%
81-87
50%
81-81
56%
94-74
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
99-69
60%
98-64
55%
93-75
59%
95-67
TTL
58%
97-69-2
56%
85-67-10
51%
85-81-2
53%
81-71-10
Contextual Game News
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White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
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