ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
25-10 | Road
4
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
16-19 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
JR Ritchie
#60 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Ritchie | None-None | 3.63 | -- | 5.0 | 2 |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 5.79 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.63 Ldr
ERA
5.79
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
MARINERS
0%
BRAVES
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
ATL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ATL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Seattle
6
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 6, 2026
ATL @ SEA
1 - 3
May 5, 2026
ATL @ SEA
3 - 2
May 4, 2026
ATL @ SEA
4 - 5
Sep 7, 2025
SEA @ ATL
18 - 2
Sep 6, 2025
SEA @ ATL
10 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Seattle
SEA
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.233
Avg (AVG)
.233
.324
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.757
▲
OPS
.693
1
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18100.0% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+44.0% more
Seattle: 0.8
vs
Atlanta: 0.4
Home Runs (L5)
+50.3% more
Atlanta: 1.9
vs
Seattle: 1.0
Total Bases (L5)
+49.5% more
Atlanta: 20.3
vs
Seattle: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
4.0
4
SEA Score
5.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.4 / 11.1
8.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.9
2.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
9.5 / 10.8
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
10.3 / 20.3
15.0 / 21.0
Walks
2.9 / 4.8
2.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ATL
SEA
ATL
ML
50%
81-81
46%
77-90
52%
85-77
54%
90-78
ATS
60%
98-64
57%
96-71
59%
95-67
52%
87-81
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
83-73-11
53%
81-71-10
49%
76-80-11
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