PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
43-36 | Road
102
HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
50-29 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
ROCKETS
0%
76ERS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
252.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
PHI By 1-7 points
10.7%
PHI By 8-14 points
3.3%
HOU By 1-7 points
23.0%
HOU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
121
PHILADELPHIA
Houston
131
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
104
PHILADELPHIA
Houston
115
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockets (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Rockets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.5
Loss
Proj Total: 252.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
PHI @ HOU
102 - 113
Jan 22, 2026
HOU @ PHI
122 - 128
Mar 17, 2025
PHI @ HOU
137 - 144
Nov 27, 2024
HOU @ PHI
122 - 115
Jan 15, 2024
HOU @ PHI
115 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.3% more
Houston: 29.0
vs
Philadelphia: 22.3
Turnovers (L5)
+10.6% more
Houston: 14.3
vs
Philadelphia: 13.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Houston: 41.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 34.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Houston: 49.8%
vs
Philadelphia: 45.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
121.0
102
HOU Score
131.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.2 / 34.0
34.0 / 34.0
Assists
29.0 / 22.3
21.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.0 / 5.3
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
49.8 / 45.2
45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
85.3 / 82.2
69.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
47.3 / 43.9
53.0 / 47.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.3
12.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 13.0
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
PHI
HOU
PHI
ML
61%
69-44
63%
69-40
59%
51-35
48%
45-48
ATS
62%
70-43
65%
71-38
59%
51-35
48%
45-48
TTL
51%
58-55
55%
60-49
100%
86-0
100%
93-0
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