MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
47-32 | Road
120
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
43-36 | Home
132
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
MAGIC
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
MIN By 1-7 points
20.1%
MIN By 8-14 points
9.3%
ORL By 1-7 points
27.4%
ORL By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
111
MINNESOTA
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.5
Loss
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
MIN @ ORL
120 - 132
Mar 7, 2026
ORL @ MIN
119 - 92
Mar 14, 2025
ORL @ MIN
111 - 118
Jan 9, 2025
MIN @ ORL
104 - 89
Feb 2, 2024
ORL @ MIN
108 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+12.7% more
Orlando: 28.0
vs
Minnesota: 24.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
Minnesota: 80.1%
vs
Orlando: 77.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Minnesota: 36.9%
vs
Orlando: 35.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
111.0
120
ORL Score
115.0
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 36.9
41.0 / 41.0
Assists
28.0 / 24.9
33.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.1 / 4.9
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 46.4
54.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
77.2 / 80.1
78.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
42.2 / 41.3
48.0 / 33.0
Steals
10.4 / 10.8
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 16.6
17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
MIN
ORL
MIN
ML
61%
65-42
54%
63-53
56%
51-40
54%
50-43
ATS
64%
68-38-1
58%
67-49
56%
51-40
54%
50-43
TTL
57%
61-46
63%
72-43-1
100%
91-0
100%
93-0
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