BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
51-25 | Road
133
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
30-46 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
BUCKS
100%
CELTICS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+12.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL +12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
BOS By 1-7 points
20.1%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.2%
MIL By 1-7 points
8.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
109
BOSTON
Milwaukee
97
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Boston
114
BOSTON
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +12.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u216.5
Loss
Proj Total: 206.0
D
Sim
u216.5
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
BOS @ MIL
133 - 101
Mar 2, 2026
BOS @ MIL
108 - 81
Feb 1, 2026
MIL @ BOS
79 - 107
Dec 11, 2025
BOS @ MIL
101 - 116
Dec 6, 2024
MIL @ BOS
105 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+36.9% more
Boston: 5.6
vs
Milwaukee: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+8.7% more
Boston: 25.8
vs
Milwaukee: 23.5
Rebounding (L5)
+8.6% more
Boston: 47.1
vs
Milwaukee: 43.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Boston: 49.3%
vs
Milwaukee: 46.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
109.0
133
MIL Score
97.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 41.4
45.0 / 46.0
Assists
23.5 / 25.8
24.0 / 33.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.6
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 49.3
42.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 74.8
77.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
43.1 / 47.1
30.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.0 / 5.2
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
17.6 / 11.5
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
BOS
MIL
BOS
ML
64%
61-35
57%
61-46
60%
49-32
53%
47-41
ATS
68%
65-31
59%
61-43-3
60%
49-32
53%
47-41
TTL
55%
53-43
56%
60-47
100%
81-0
100%
88-0
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