SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
58-18 | Road
118
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
39-37 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
SPURS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
27.2%
SA By 8-14 points
23.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
18.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
LA
113
LA
Simulated Score
San Antonio
108
SAN ANTONIO
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u232.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u232.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
SA @ LAC
118 - 99
Mar 16, 2026
SA @ LAC
119 - 115
Mar 6, 2026
LAC @ SA
112 - 116
Apr 8, 2025
SA @ LAC
117 - 122
Jan 29, 2025
LAC @ SA
128 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.4% more
San Antonio: 33.2
vs
LA: 23.1
Rebounding (L5)
+25.5% more
San Antonio: 50.5
vs
LA: 37.6
Blocks (L5)
+26.9% more
LA: 6.9
vs
San Antonio: 5.4
Steals (L5)
+26.3% more
LA: 10.4
vs
San Antonio: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
118.0
118
LAC Score
113.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 36.4
19.0 / 39.0
Assists
23.1 / 33.2
20.0 / 30.0
Blocks
6.9 / 5.4
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 50.0
43.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 77.4
78.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
37.6 / 50.5
38.0 / 48.0
Steals
10.4 / 8.3
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 13.3
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
SA
LAC
SA
ML
60%
59-40
60%
111-73
55%
45-37
58%
61-44
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
107-76-1
55%
45-37
58%
61-44
TTL
59%
58-40-1
74%
134-47-3
100%
82-0
100%
105-0
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