MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
46-29 | Road
108
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
55-21 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
PISTONS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
25.3%
MIN By 8-14 points
26.2%
DET By 1-7 points
13.7%
DET By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
116
MINNESOTA
Detroit
108
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Minnesota
105
MINNESOTA
Detroit
118
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o222.5
Loss
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u222.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
MIN @ DET
108 - 113
Mar 28, 2026
DET @ MIN
109 - 87
Mar 30, 2025
DET @ MIN
104 - 123
Jan 4, 2025
MIN @ DET
105 - 119
Mar 27, 2024
DET @ MIN
91 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+10.5% more
Minnesota: 47.0
vs
Detroit: 42.0
Turnovers (L5)
+27.1% more
Detroit: 18.0
vs
Minnesota: 14.2
Assists (L5)
+17.8% more
Detroit: 31.4
vs
Minnesota: 26.6
Steals (L5)
+9.7% more
Detroit: 9.6
vs
Minnesota: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
116.0
108
DET Score
108.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.6 / 35.8
43.0 / 31.0
Assists
31.4 / 26.6
29.0 / 22.0
Blocks
6.4 / 6.5
7.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
52.3 / 44.7
48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 72.4
72.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
42.0 / 47.0
48.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.6 / 8.7
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
18.0 / 14.2
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
55%
64-53
54%
63-53
49%
47-49
54%
50-43
ATS
53%
60-54-3
58%
67-49
49%
47-49
54%
50-43
TTL
60%
70-46-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
96-0
100%
93-0
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