AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
RAPTORS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
259.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
TOR By 1-7 points
24.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
13.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
26.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
129
TORONTO
LA
130
LA
Simulated Score
Toronto
107
TORONTO
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 259.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
TOR @ LAC
94 - 119
Jan 16, 2026
LAC @ TOR
121 - 117
Feb 2, 2025
LAC @ TOR
108 - 115
Nov 9, 2024
TOR @ LAC
103 - 105
Jan 26, 2024
LAC @ TOR
127 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.4%
LA: 83.5%
vs
Toronto: 68.1%
Steals (L5)
+15.0% more
LA: 11.0
vs
Toronto: 9.6
Assists (L5)
+22.3% more
Toronto: 35.4
vs
LA: 27.5
Turnovers (L5)
+18.1% more
Toronto: 15.8
vs
LA: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
129.0
94
LAC Score
130.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.7 / 41.2
46.0 / 34.0
Assists
27.5 / 35.4
24.0 / 28.0
Blocks
6.0 / 7.1
12.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
53.6 / 54.1
51.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
83.5 / 68.1
79.0 / 36.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 37.0
49.0 / 46.0
Steals
11.0 / 9.6
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 15.8
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
TOR
LAC
TOR
ML
60%
59-40
55%
57-47
55%
45-37
55%
48-39
ATS
66%
65-33-1
61%
62-40-2
55%
45-37
55%
48-39
TTL
59%
58-40-1
60%
62-42
100%
82-0
100%
87-0