Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Redhawks @ Tigers SEA @ AUB

SEATTLE U

REDHAWKSSEA

21-13  |  Road

85
FINAL
Sun, Mar 22 • 6:30 PM ET
Neville Arena
View Odds Details →

AUBURN

TIGERSAUB

18-16  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
REDHAWKS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
AUBURN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RedhawksSEA (-3.5) 0 TigersAUB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Redhawks Cover

38.2%

Tigers Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AUB +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AUB)

SEA By 1-7 points

27.2%

SEA By 8-14 points

20.1%

AUB By 1-7 points

21.6%

AUB By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
84
SEATTLE U
81
AUBURN
Simulated Score
65
SEATTLE U
78
AUBURN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Redhawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 SEA @ AUB 85 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +32.4% more
Seattle U: 8.0 vs Auburn: 5.4
Blocks (L5) +18.8% more
Seattle U: 5.1 vs Auburn: 4.2
Rebounding (L5) +25.9% more
Auburn: 38.3 vs Seattle U: 30.4
Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Auburn: 41.6% vs Seattle U: 39.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 84.0 85
AUB Score 81.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 34.4 35.0 / 52.0
Assists 13.2 / 13.1 15.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.2 / 5.1 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.6 / 39.3 50.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 75.2 75.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 30.4 41.0 / 23.0
Steals 5.4 / 8.0 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 10.9 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
AUB
22-16-0 (57.9%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA Advantage
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
AUB
15-23-0 (39.5%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -4.8
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AUB
SEA
AUB
SEA
ML
58% 22-16
46% 16-19
75% 24-8
71% 24-10
ATS
74% 28-10
57% 20-15
75% 24-8
71% 24-10
TTL
53% 20-18
49% 17-18
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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