LA
CLIPPERSLAC
34-36 | Road
138
DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
23-47 | Home
131
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
MAVERICKS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
25.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.2%
DAL By 1-7 points
13.7%
DAL By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
121
LA
Dallas
113
DALLAS
Simulated Score
LA
109
LA
Dallas
115
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.5
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
DAL @ LAC
103 - 116
Mar 21, 2026
LAC @ DAL
138 - 131
Nov 29, 2025
DAL @ LAC
114 - 110
Nov 14, 2025
LAC @ DAL
133 - 127
Apr 5, 2025
DAL @ LAC
104 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.2% more
LA: 11.0
vs
Dallas: 8.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
LA: 48.5%
vs
Dallas: 46.8%
Blocks (L5)
+21.5% more
Dallas: 4.8
vs
LA: 4.0
Rebounding (L5)
+21.4% more
Dallas: 46.0
vs
LA: 37.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
121.0
138
DAL Score
113.0
131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 32.9
38.0 / 50.0
Assists
27.4 / 22.9
24.0 / 33.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.0
6.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 48.5
47.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
79.3 / 71.3
76.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
46.0 / 37.9
47.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.4 / 11.0
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 14.1
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
LAC
DAL
LAC
ML
62%
63-39
60%
59-40
54%
44-37
55%
45-37
ATS
67%
68-34
66%
65-33-1
54%
44-37
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
60-41-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
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