MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
28-40 | Road
96
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
20-49 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
JAZZ
0%
BUCKS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
MIL By 1-7 points
1.7%
MIL By 8-14 points
0.3%
UTAH By 1-7 points
8.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
102
MILWAUKEE
Utah
122
UTAH
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
107
MILWAUKEE
Utah
118
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
MIL @ UTAH
96 - 128
Mar 7, 2026
UTAH @ MIL
99 - 113
Jan 27, 2025
MIL @ UTAH
125 - 110
Nov 7, 2024
UTAH @ MIL
100 - 123
Feb 4, 2024
MIL @ UTAH
108 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+68.7% more
Utah: 10.9
vs
Milwaukee: 6.4
Turnovers (L5)
+45.3% more
Utah: 18.3
vs
Milwaukee: 12.6
Blocks (L5)
+17.9% more
Utah: 4.4
vs
Milwaukee: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+9.5% more
Utah: 42.6
vs
Milwaukee: 38.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
102.0
96
UTAH Score
122.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 41.5
38.0 / 34.0
Assists
25.9 / 26.1
34.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.7
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 49.4
54.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 69.4
70.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
42.6 / 38.9
47.0 / 35.0
Steals
10.9 / 6.4
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
18.3 / 12.6
17.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MIL
UTAH
MIL
ML
60%
96-63
64%
61-35
48%
40-43
60%
49-32
ATS
68%
108-51
68%
65-31
48%
40-43
60%
49-32
TTL
75%
119-39-1
55%
53-43
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
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