Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Scarlet Knights @ Bruins RUTG @ UCLA

RUTGERS

SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG

14-18  |  Road

59
FINAL
Thu, Mar 12 • 9:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

21-10  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
SCARLET KNIGHTS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (UCLA)
Scarlet KnightsRUTG (-3.5) 0 BruinsUCLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Scarlet Knights Cover

30.9%

Bruins Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCLA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)

RUTG By 1-7 points

18.6%

RUTG By 8-14 points

8.0%

UCLA By 1-7 points

27.2%

UCLA By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
69
RUTGERS
74
UCLA
Simulated Score
65
RUTGERS
75
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 RUTG @ UCLA 59 - 72
Feb 3, 2026 RUTG @ UCLA 66 - 98
Jan 13, 2025 UCLA @ RUTG 68 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +19.1% more
UCLA: 33.7 vs Rutgers: 28.3
Assists (L5) +10.4% more
UCLA: 18.9 vs Rutgers: 17.1
Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
UCLA: 50.9% vs Rutgers: 44.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
UCLA: 42.3% vs Rutgers: 37.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score 69.0 59
UCLA Score 74.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.3 / 37.9 30.0 / 32.0
Assists 18.9 / 17.1 18.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.4 / 3.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 44.9 38.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 71.5 / 76.5 83.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 28.3 40.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.4 / 6.7 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 6.7 / 8.4 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0 (41.2%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
UCLA Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.3
UCLA
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.6
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
RUTG
UCLA
RUTG
ML
67% 24-12
53% 18-16
76% 25-8
70% 23-10
ATS
61% 22-14
68% 23-11
76% 25-8
70% 23-10
TTL
61% 22-14
53% 18-16
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day, 1 hour ago
Oregon Ducks vs. UCLA Bruins: Unbeaten Bruins Invade Autzen as C…
si 2 days, 7 hours ago
Indiana Hoosiers Fans Invade Rutgers Homecoming as Hoosiers Roll…
app 4 days, 19 hours ago
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
si 5 days, 13 hours ago
Rutgers Basketball Preseason: Standouts and Storylines from Tues…
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago