BYU
COUGARSBYU
23-10 | Road
66
HOUSTON
COUGARSHOU
26-5 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
COUGARS
0%
COUGARS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
BYU By 1-7 points
24.3%
BYU By 8-14 points
13.7%
HOU By 1-7 points
26.2%
HOU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
BYU
67
BYU
Houston
68
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
BYU
72
BYU
Houston
66
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Cougars (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
BYU @ HOU
66 - 73
Feb 7, 2026
HOU @ BYU
77 - 66
Mar 14, 2025
BYU @ HOU
54 - 74
Jan 4, 2025
BYU @ HOU
55 - 86
Jan 23, 2024
HOU @ BYU
75 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.8% more
Houston: 14.2
vs
BYU: 10.9
Steals (L5)
+10.0% more
Houston: 7.4
vs
BYU: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.1%
Houston: 39.6%
vs
BYU: 31.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.4%
Houston: 72.5%
vs
BYU: 70.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BYU Score
67.0
66
HOU Score
68.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 31.5
29.0 / 47.0
Assists
14.2 / 10.9
11.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.6
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 47.2
45.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 70.1
80.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 36.7
37.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.7
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 10.8
16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
HOU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
HOU
Advantage
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
BYU
HOU
BYU
ML
70%
26-11
60%
21-14
68%
23-11
72%
23-9
ATS
70%
26-11
54%
19-16
68%
23-11
72%
23-9
TTL
59%
22-15
69%
24-11
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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