MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
40-25 | Road
128
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
32-32 | Home
153
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
MIN By 1-7 points
18.6%
MIN By 8-14 points
8.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
104
MINNESOTA
LA
109
LA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
109
MINNESOTA
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Loss
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
MIN @ LAC
128 - 153
Feb 26, 2026
MIN @ LAC
94 - 88
Feb 8, 2026
LAC @ MIN
115 - 96
Dec 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 109
Jan 6, 2025
LAC @ MIN
106 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.0% more
LA: 10.6
vs
Minnesota: 7.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
LA: 83.1%
vs
Minnesota: 75.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
LA: 36.2%
vs
Minnesota: 29.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
LA: 48.8%
vs
Minnesota: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
104.0
128
LAC Score
109.0
153
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 29.7
51.0 / 44.0
Assists
22.1 / 22.0
36.0 / 32.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.9
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 45.7
63.0 / 60.0
Free Throw %
83.1 / 75.5
83.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
41.2 / 42.1
29.0 / 28.0
Steals
10.6 / 7.8
16.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 13.0
10.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
MIN
LAC
MIN
ML
60%
59-40
54%
63-53
55%
45-37
54%
50-43
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
67-49
55%
45-37
54%
50-43
TTL
59%
58-40-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
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