Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Camels @ Hawks CAM @ MONM

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

16-17  |  Road

64
FINAL
Mon, Mar 9 • 6:00 PM ET
CareFirst Arena
View Odds Details →

MONMOUTH

HAWKSMONM

18-14  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
📊
HAWKS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
MONMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Monmouth)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 HawksMONM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

34.5%

Hawks Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MONM -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONM)

CAM By 1-7 points

20.1%

CAM By 8-14 points

9.3%

MONM By 1-7 points

27.4%

MONM By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
82
CAMPBELL
86
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
70
CAMPBELL
75
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawks (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 CAM @ MONM 64 - 74
Jan 24, 2026 MONM @ CAM 88 - 73
Dec 31, 2025 CAM @ MONM 68 - 65
Jan 18, 2025 MONM @ CAM 58 - 81
Mar 9, 2024 CAM @ MONM 67 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +161.4% more
Monmouth: 4.8 vs Campbell: 1.8
Steals (L5) +27.5% more
Monmouth: 8.2 vs Campbell: 6.4
Turnovers (L5) +17.0% more
Monmouth: 11.4 vs Campbell: 9.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Campbell: 37.4% vs Monmouth: 35.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 82.0 64
MONM Score 86.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.0 / 37.4 17.0 / 17.0
Assists 13.8 / 14.0 11.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.8 / 1.8 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 49.3 42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 78.1 / 76.8 88.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 34.0 / 35.8 25.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.2 / 6.4 13.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 9.7 7.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
MONM Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
MONM
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
CAM
MONM
CAM
ML
62% 21-13
65% 22-12
64% 21-12
71% 24-10
ATS
62% 21-13
67% 22-11-1
64% 21-12
71% 24-10
TTL
59% 20-14
53% 18-16
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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