TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
18-14 | Road
81
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
21-10 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
COUGARS
0%
TIGERS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
TOW By 1-7 points
13.7%
TOW By 8-14 points
4.8%
COFC By 1-7 points
25.3%
COFC By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
72
TOWSON
Charleston
80
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Towson
72
TOWSON
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
TOW @ COFC
81 - 56
Jan 15, 2026
COFC @ TOW
52 - 61
Jan 4, 2025
TOW @ COFC
69 - 77
Mar 11, 2024
TOW @ COFC
56 - 61
Feb 24, 2024
COFC @ TOW
72 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+77.3% more
Charleston: 15.9
vs
Towson: 9.0
Steals (L5)
+13.5% more
Charleston: 6.9
vs
Towson: 6.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Charleston: 45.7%
vs
Towson: 43.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.3%
Charleston: 73.5%
vs
Towson: 71.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
72.0
81
COFC Score
80.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 38.4
14.0 / 45.0
Assists
15.9 / 9.0
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.6 / 5.6
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 43.1
39.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 71.2
53.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 38.3
27.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.1
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 9.8
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
TOW
COFC
TOW
ML
66%
19-10
66%
21-11
62%
18-11
62%
20-12
ATS
59%
17-12
66%
21-11
62%
18-11
62%
20-12
TTL
68%
19-9-1
53%
17-15
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
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