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CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

15-17  |  Road

85
FINAL
Sun, Mar 8 • 12:00 PM ET
CareFirst Arena
View Odds Details →

UNC WILMINGTON

SEAHAWKSUNCW

26-5  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
📊
SEAHAWKS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
SEAHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
UNC WILMINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (UNC Wilmington)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 SeahawksUNCW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

21.2%

Seahawks Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCW -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCW)

CAM By 1-7 points

13.7%

CAM By 8-14 points

4.8%

UNCW By 1-7 points

25.3%

UNCW By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
66
CAMPBELL
74
UNC WILMINGTON
Simulated Score
71
CAMPBELL
75
UNC WILMINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seahawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seahawks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seahawks (+8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Seahawks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 CAM @ UNCW 85 - 70
Feb 21, 2026 UNCW @ CAM 73 - 68
Jan 17, 2026 CAM @ UNCW 75 - 78
Feb 27, 2025 UNCW @ CAM 79 - 60
Jan 4, 2025 CAM @ UNCW 69 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +16.1% more
UNC Wilmington: 40.8 vs Campbell: 35.1
Assists (L5) +15.9% more
UNC Wilmington: 16.2 vs Campbell: 14.0
Free Throw % (L5) +17.0%
Campbell: 73.2% vs UNC Wilmington: 56.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.3%
Campbell: 50.9% vs UNC Wilmington: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 66.0 85
UNCW Score 74.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.4 / 40.1 11.0 / 32.0
Assists 16.2 / 14.0 11.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.9 / 1.8 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 50.9 39.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 56.2 / 73.2 73.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 35.1 41.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.6 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 10.6 11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
UNCW Advantage
27-7-0 (79.4%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
UNCW
16-14-2 (53.3%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
UNCW
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCW
CAM
UNCW
CAM
ML
64% 21-12
65% 22-12
52% 17-16
71% 24-10
ATS
58% 19-14
67% 22-11-1
52% 17-16
71% 24-10
TTL
61% 20-13
53% 18-16
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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