Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Hose @ Eagles PRES @ WIN

PRESBYTERIAN

BLUE HOSEPRES

15-17  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 2:30 PM ET
Freedom Hall (TN)
View Odds Details →

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

22-10  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
BLUE HOSE --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Winthrop)
Blue HosePRES (-3.5) 0 EaglesWIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hose Cover

30.9%

Eagles Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIN -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)

PRES By 1-7 points

18.6%

PRES By 8-14 points

8.0%

WIN By 1-7 points

27.2%

WIN By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
62
PRESBYTERIAN
67
WINTHROP
Simulated Score
69
PRESBYTERIAN
78
WINTHROP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 PRES @ WIN 71 - 73
Feb 28, 2026 PRES @ WIN 70 - 74
Jan 24, 2026 WIN @ PRES 82 - 72
Feb 19, 2025 WIN @ PRES 81 - 77
Jan 29, 2025 PRES @ WIN 67 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +21.2% more
Winthrop: 45.7 vs Presbyterian: 37.7
Steals (L5) +9.4% more
Winthrop: 5.8 vs Presbyterian: 5.3
Blocks (L5) +40.8% more
Presbyterian: 5.6 vs Winthrop: 3.3
Turnovers (L5) +28.5% more
Presbyterian: 13.0 vs Winthrop: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRES Score 62.0 71
WIN Score 67.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 31.5 28.0 / 35.0
Assists 9.8 / 13.0 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.3 / 5.6 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 39.4 / 47.8 45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 76.3 / 75.0 71.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 45.7 / 37.7 34.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.8 / 5.3 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 13.0 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
WIN Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +0.7
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIN
PRES
WIN
PRES
ML
70% 23-10
69% 22-10
79% 26-7
80% 24-6
ATS
79% 26-7
59% 19-13
79% 26-7
80% 24-6
TTL
58% 19-14
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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