Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Fighting Camels @ Seawolves CAM @ STBK

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

14-17  |  Road

96
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 12:00 PM ET
CareFirst Arena
View Odds Details →

STONY BROOK

SEAWOLVESSTBK

17-14  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
📊
SEAWOLVES
100%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
SEAWOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Campbell)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 SeawolvesSTBK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

81.6%

Seawolves Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAM -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

CAM By 1-7 points

24.3%

CAM By 8-14 points

26.8%

STBK By 1-7 points

12.2%

STBK By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
77
CAMPBELL
68
STONY BROOK
Simulated Score
68
CAMPBELL
74
STONY BROOK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Fighting Camels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seawolves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Fighting Camels (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Seawolves (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 CAM @ STBK 96 - 89
Jan 29, 2026 STBK @ CAM 81 - 69
Jan 23, 2025 CAM @ STBK 79 - 54
Feb 10, 2024 STBK @ CAM 77 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +15.8% more
Campbell: 13.5 vs Stony Brook: 11.3
Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
Campbell: 44.9% vs Stony Brook: 38.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.7%
Campbell: 76.8% vs Stony Brook: 72.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Campbell: 35.2% vs Stony Brook: 32.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 77.0 96
STBK Score 68.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 35.2 39.0 / 50.0
Assists 11.3 / 13.5 11.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.1 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 38.9 / 44.9 48.0 / 63.0
Free Throw % 72.2 / 76.8 87.0 / 66.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 35.2 24.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.4 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 9.4 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
STBK Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
STBK Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STBK
CAM
STBK
CAM
ML
61% 19-12
65% 22-12
71% 22-9
71% 24-10
ATS
61% 19-12
67% 22-11-1
71% 22-9
71% 24-10
TTL
65% 20-11
53% 18-16
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days ago
Duke's Cameron Crazies Crowned Top Student Section for 2026-27
yahoo 6 days, 6 hours ago
Calipari Drops Stunner: Nine Arkansas Players Outearn Assistant …
yahoo 1 week ago
Chicago Bulls Open Training Camp with New Regime and Roster Batt…
si 1 week, 2 days ago