Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hilltoppers @ Panthers WKU @ FIU

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

18-12  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 2:00 PM ET
Ocean Bank Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

14-16  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
HILLTOPPERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
HILLTOPPERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Florida International)
HilltoppersWKU (-3.5) 0 PanthersFIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hilltoppers Cover

38.2%

Panthers Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FIU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

WKU By 1-7 points

21.6%

WKU By 8-14 points

10.7%

FIU By 1-7 points

27.2%

FIU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
75
WESTERN KENTUCKY
78
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
68
WESTERN KENTUCKY
76
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 WKU @ FIU 67 - 92
Feb 7, 2026 FIU @ WKU 70 - 80
Mar 11, 2025 FIU @ WKU 64 - 61
Mar 6, 2025 FIU @ WKU 67 - 76
Jan 4, 2025 WKU @ FIU 66 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +196.1% more
Florida International: 4.6 vs Western Kentucky: 1.6
Turnovers (L5) +73.0% more
Florida International: 14.2 vs Western Kentucky: 8.2
Assists (L5) +11.6% more
Western Kentucky: 14.3 vs Florida International: 12.6
Free Throw % (L5) +7.3%
Western Kentucky: 78.6% vs Florida International: 71.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WKU Score 75.0 67
FIU Score 78.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 33.1 40.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.6 / 14.3 17.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.6 / 1.6 6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 48.6 53.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 71.3 / 78.6 71.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 35.4 48.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.1 / 7.2 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 8.2 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
89%MONEY11%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WKU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
FIU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WKU
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
FIU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
WKU
FIU
WKU
ML
58% 18-13
56% 18-14
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
ATS
52% 16-15
53% 17-15
65% 20-11
66% 21-11
TTL
65% 20-11
56% 18-14
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
WKU Men's Basketball Kicks Off Official Practices with Revamped …
wnky 1 week ago
WKU Athletics extends contract with Nike, BSN SPORTS
wnky 2 months, 1 week ago
Sewickley Herald notebook: Panthers basketball standout embarkin…
triblive 2 months, 1 week ago
Panthers’ Wood weighs choices, picks KCU volleyball
irontontribune 2 months, 2 weeks ago
Nov 22, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Pittsburgh Panthers head co…
si 3 months, 1 week ago