Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Ducks WASH @ ORE

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

15-15  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 11:00 PM ET
Matthew Knight Arena
View Odds Details →

OREGON

DUCKSORE

11-19  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
📊
DUCKS
100%
HUSKIES --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Washington)
HuskiesWASH (-3.5) 0 DucksORE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

91.9%

Ducks Cover

8.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WASH -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

WASH By 1-7 points

16.9%

WASH By 8-14 points

26.2%

ORE By 1-7 points

5.8%

ORE By 8-14 points

1.4%

AI Model Projected Score
89
WASHINGTON
75
OREGON
Simulated Score
72
WASHINGTON
78
OREGON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Huskies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Huskies (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 WASH @ ORE 79 - 85
Jan 25, 2026 ORE @ WASH 57 - 72
Mar 9, 2025 ORE @ WASH 80 - 73
Jan 21, 2025 WASH @ ORE 71 - 82
Feb 8, 2024 WASH @ ORE 80 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
Washington: 48.3% vs Oregon: 40.2%
Turnovers (L5) +10.1% more
Oregon: 11.2 vs Washington: 10.1
Assists (L5) +9.4% more
Oregon: 13.9 vs Washington: 12.7
Free Throw % (L5) +7.3%
Oregon: 78.7% vs Washington: 71.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WASH Score 89.0 79
ORE Score 75.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 26.9 46.0 / 31.0
Assists 13.9 / 12.7 22.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.1 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.2 / 48.3 53.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 78.7 / 71.5 70.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 37.0 28.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.5 / 5.9 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 10.1 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
ORE
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
ORE
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORE
WASH
ORE
WASH
ML
56% 18-14
45% 15-18
62% 18-11
66% 21-11
ATS
56% 18-14
48% 16-17
62% 18-11
66% 21-11
TTL
59% 19-13
70% 23-10
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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