INDIANA
PACERSIND
15-46 | Road
107
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
29-31 | Home
130
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
PACERS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
IND By 1-7 points
6.8%
IND By 8-14 points
1.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
18.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
107
INDIANA
LA
120
LA
Simulated Score
Indiana
116
INDIANA
LA
121
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-12)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u228.5
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u228.5
Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 27, 2026
LAC @ IND
114 - 113
Mar 4, 2026
IND @ LAC
107 - 130
Feb 23, 2025
LAC @ IND
111 - 129
Feb 6, 2025
IND @ LAC
119 - 112
Mar 25, 2024
IND @ LAC
133 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.1% more
LA: 9.3
vs
Indiana: 7.0
Rebounding (L5)
+19.3% more
LA: 44.1
vs
Indiana: 36.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.3%
LA: 85.0%
vs
Indiana: 75.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
LA: 49.0%
vs
Indiana: 47.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
107.0
107
LAC Score
120.0
130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.5 / 36.0
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
22.2 / 29.2
28.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.2 / 5.1
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 47.3
55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
85.0 / 75.7
80.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
44.1 / 36.9
47.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.3 / 7.0
8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 16.8
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
IND
LAC
IND
ML
60%
59-40
48%
47-50
55%
45-37
54%
45-38
ATS
66%
65-33-1
59%
57-40
55%
45-37
54%
45-38
TTL
59%
58-40-1
54%
52-45
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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