Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Aggies @ Fighting Camels NCAT @ CAM

NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

11-17  |  Road

72
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 7:00 PM ET
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

13-17  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
100%
📊
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
AGGIES --
FIGHTING CAMELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Campbell)
AggiesNCAT (-3.5) 0 Fighting CamelsCAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

15.9%

Fighting Camels Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAM -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

NCAT By 1-7 points

10.7%

NCAT By 8-14 points

3.3%

CAM By 1-7 points

23.0%

CAM By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
76
CAMPBELL
Simulated Score
70
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
78
CAMPBELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Camels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Camels (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Fighting Camels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 NCAT @ CAM 72 - 90
Feb 7, 2026 CAM @ NCAT 79 - 71
Feb 20, 2025 CAM @ NCAT 50 - 53
Feb 10, 2025 NCAT @ CAM 62 - 66
Mar 2, 2024 NCAT @ CAM 62 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +74.3% more
Campbell: 5.6 vs North Carolina A&T: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
Campbell: 78.8% vs North Carolina A&T: 72.6%
Blocks (L5) +60.7% more
North Carolina A&T: 3.1 vs Campbell: 1.2
Turnovers (L5) +41.0% more
North Carolina A&T: 12.9 vs Campbell: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCAT Score 66.0 72
CAM Score 76.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 34.7 43.0 / 33.0
Assists 9.7 / 13.6 21.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.2 / 3.1 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.8 / 53.8 55.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 78.8 / 72.6 73.0 / 52.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 33.4 34.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.6 / 3.2 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 7.6 / 12.9 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
14%MONEY86%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCAT
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
CAM Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
CAM
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAM
NCAT
CAM
NCAT
ML
65% 22-12
52% 14-13
71% 24-10
63% 17-10
ATS
67% 22-11-1
63% 17-10
71% 24-10
64% 18-10
TTL
53% 18-16
69% 18-8-1
100% 34-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 13 hours, 30 minutes ago
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day ago
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
aggieswire 4 days, 13 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days ago
Duke's Cameron Crazies Crowned Top Student Section for 2026-27
yahoo 6 days, 6 hours ago