QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
18-12 | Road
67
CANISIUS
GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN
10-20 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
100%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
0%
BOBCATS
--
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CANISIUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Canisius)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAN)
QUIN By 1-7 points
23.0%
QUIN By 8-14 points
12.2%
CAN By 1-7 points
26.8%
CAN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Quinnipiac
75
QUINNIPIAC
Canisius
77
CANISIUS
Simulated Score
Quinnipiac
68
QUINNIPIAC
Canisius
72
CANISIUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Griffins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Griffins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Griffins (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Golden Griffins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
QUIN @ CAN
67 - 63
Feb 5, 2026
CAN @ QUIN
60 - 75
Feb 6, 2025
CAN @ QUIN
71 - 89
Mar 13, 2024
CAN @ QUIN
52 - 76
Feb 4, 2024
CAN @ QUIN
63 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+39.4% more
Canisius: 13.7
vs
Quinnipiac: 9.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+18.1%
Canisius: 84.0%
vs
Quinnipiac: 65.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Canisius: 37.2%
vs
Quinnipiac: 27.3%
Steals (L5)
+32.5% more
Quinnipiac: 6.5
vs
Canisius: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score
75.0
67
CAN Score
77.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 27.3
23.0 / 25.0
Assists
11.8 / 11.8
12.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.9
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 40.3
38.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
84.0 / 65.9
69.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 36.7
38.0 / 45.0
Steals
4.4 / 6.5
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 9.8
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
CAN
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
CAN
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAN
QUIN
CAN
QUIN
ML
55%
17-14
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
53%
17-15
ATS
65%
20-11
59%
19-13
68%
21-10
53%
17-15
TTL
58%
18-13
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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