PRESBYTERIAN
BLUE HOSEPRES
14-16 | Road
70
WINTHROP
EAGLESWIN
20-10 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
100%
EAGLES
0%
BLUE HOSE
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Winthrop)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIN -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)
PRES By 1-7 points
15.3%
PRES By 8-14 points
5.8%
WIN By 1-7 points
26.2%
WIN By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Presbyterian
68
PRESBYTERIAN
Winthrop
75
WINTHROP
Simulated Score
Presbyterian
68
PRESBYTERIAN
Winthrop
75
WINTHROP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
PRES @ WIN
71 - 73
Feb 28, 2026
PRES @ WIN
70 - 74
Jan 24, 2026
WIN @ PRES
82 - 72
Feb 19, 2025
WIN @ PRES
81 - 77
Jan 29, 2025
PRES @ WIN
67 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.6% more
Winthrop: 8.1
vs
Presbyterian: 5.7
Rebounding (L5)
+30.9% more
Winthrop: 44.4
vs
Presbyterian: 33.9
Blocks (L5)
+54.1% more
Presbyterian: 5.3
vs
Winthrop: 2.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Presbyterian: 46.4%
vs
Winthrop: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRES Score
68.0
70
WIN Score
75.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 35.3
31.0 / 8.0
Assists
12.6 / 12.7
7.0 / 3.0
Blocks
2.5 / 5.3
1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 46.4
37.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 72.9
73.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
44.4 / 33.9
36.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.1 / 5.7
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.5
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
WIN
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
WIN
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIN
PRES
WIN
PRES
ML
70%
23-10
69%
22-10
79%
26-7
80%
24-6
ATS
79%
26-7
59%
19-13
79%
26-7
80%
24-6
TTL
58%
19-14
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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