Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bears @ Big Red BRWN @ COR

BROWN

BEARSBRWN

9-16  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 6:00 PM ET
Newman Arena
View Odds Details →

CORNELL

BIG REDCOR

13-12  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
0%
📊
BIG RED
100%
BEARS --
BIG RED --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BearsBRWN (-3.5) 0 Big RedCOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bears Cover

46.0%

Big Red Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COR +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)

BRWN By 1-7 points

26.2%

BRWN By 8-14 points

16.9%

COR By 1-7 points

24.3%

COR By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
71
BROWN
70
CORNELL
Simulated Score
71
BROWN
76
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bears Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Big Red Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Big Red (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Big Red (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 BRWN @ COR 80 - 86
Jan 19, 2026 COR @ BRWN 89 - 67
Feb 22, 2025 COR @ BRWN 85 - 81
Jan 20, 2025 BRWN @ COR 83 - 82
Feb 24, 2024 BRWN @ COR 78 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +43.8% more
Brown: 9.0 vs Cornell: 5.1
Turnovers (L5) +24.2% more
Brown: 14.5 vs Cornell: 11.0
Blocks (L5) +14.9% more
Brown: 2.4 vs Cornell: 2.1
Assists (L5) +22.9% more
Cornell: 16.8 vs Brown: 13.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BRWN Score 71.0 80
COR Score 70.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.0 / 26.2 37.0 / 35.0
Assists 16.8 / 13.7 20.0 / 21.0
Blocks 2.1 / 2.4 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 48.0 45.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 69.2 / 66.7 85.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 29.9 34.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.1 / 9.0 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 14.5 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
14%MONEY86%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRWN
9-18-0 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
COR Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRWN Advantage
14-12-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
COR
11-15-0 (42.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.3
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2% Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
BRWN
COR
BRWN
ML
44% 12-15
56% 15-12
63% 17-10
67% 18-9
ATS
59% 16-11
59% 16-11
63% 17-10
67% 18-9
TTL
78% 21-6
59% 16-11
100% 27-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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