FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
11-18 | Road
59
LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
14-15 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
0%
DOLPHINS
100%
KNIGHTS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEM +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)
FDU By 1-7 points
27.4%
FDU By 8-14 points
21.6%
LEM By 1-7 points
20.1%
LEM By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
74
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Le Moyne
70
LE MOYNE
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
71
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Le Moyne
78
LE MOYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
FDU @ LEM
59 - 76
Jan 26, 2026
LEM @ FDU
87 - 74
Jan 30, 2025
LEM @ FDU
74 - 78
Jan 10, 2025
FDU @ LEM
91 - 86
Mar 6, 2024
FDU @ LEM
61 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 71.7%
vs
Le Moyne: 69.0%
Blocks (L5)
+89.5% more
Le Moyne: 2.5
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.3
Turnovers (L5)
+36.6% more
Le Moyne: 13.9
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 10.1
Assists (L5)
+32.0% more
Le Moyne: 14.3
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
74.0
59
LEM Score
70.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 32.9
30.0 / 37.0
Assists
14.3 / 10.9
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.5 / 1.3
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 45.2
57.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
69.0 / 71.7
75.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 33.1
33.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.5 / 4.4
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 10.1
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
LEM
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEM
FDU
LEM
FDU
ML
68%
21-10
65%
20-11
68%
21-10
74%
23-8
ATS
65%
20-11
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
74%
23-8
TTL
42%
13-18
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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