AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
0%
DRAGONS
100%
FIGHTING CAMELS
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Campbell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CAM -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)
CAM By 1-7 points
25.3%
CAM By 8-14 points
26.2%
DREX By 1-7 points
13.7%
DREX By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Campbell
77
CAMPBELL
Drexel
69
DREXEL
Simulated Score
Campbell
68
CAMPBELL
Drexel
75
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Fighting Camels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Fighting Camels (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
CAM @ DREX
60 - 65
Feb 5, 2026
DREX @ CAM
60 - 81
Jan 2, 2025
DREX @ CAM
54 - 57
Feb 17, 2024
CAM @ DREX
66 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.6% more
Campbell: 7.3
vs
Drexel: 4.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.7%
Campbell: 77.7%
vs
Drexel: 65.0%
Assists (L5)
+10.3% more
Campbell: 12.3
vs
Drexel: 11.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Campbell: 36.2%
vs
Drexel: 31.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAM Score
77.0
60
DREX Score
69.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 36.2
26.0 / 25.0
Assists
11.0 / 12.3
14.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.9 / 1.0
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 41.2
42.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
65.0 / 77.7
91.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 35.0
37.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.0 / 7.3
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 9.4
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
DREX
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
CAM
DREX
CAM
ML
58%
19-14
65%
22-12
81%
26-6
71%
24-10
ATS
70%
23-10
67%
22-11-1
81%
26-6
71%
24-10
TTL
48%
16-17
53%
18-16
100%
32-0
100%
34-0