UCF
KNIGHTSUCF
19-7 | Road
97
BYU
COUGARSBYU
20-7 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
COUGARS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
UCF By 1-7 points
24.3%
UCF By 8-14 points
13.7%
BYU By 1-7 points
26.2%
BYU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
UCF
75
UCF
BYU
76
BYU
Simulated Score
UCF
67
UCF
BYU
74
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 24, 2026
UCF @ BYU
97 - 84
Feb 1, 2025
BYU @ UCF
81 - 75
Mar 13, 2024
UCF @ BYU
73 - 87
Feb 13, 2024
UCF @ BYU
88 - 90
Jan 13, 2024
BYU @ UCF
63 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+20.3% more
BYU: 37.5
vs
UCF: 31.1
Blocks (L5)
+10.1% more
BYU: 3.9
vs
UCF: 3.6
Steals (L5)
+18.1% more
UCF: 7.0
vs
BYU: 5.7
Assists (L5)
+18.0% more
UCF: 14.5
vs
BYU: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCF Score
75.0
97
BYU Score
76.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 38.5
33.0 / 58.0
Assists
11.9 / 14.5
11.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.6
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 47.2
41.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
74.1 / 78.0
85.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 31.1
34.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.7 / 7.0
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 10.4
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCF
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
BYU
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCF
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 2.3
ATS +/-: +1.2
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.2
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
UCF
BYU
UCF
ML
60%
21-14
55%
18-15
72%
23-9
65%
20-11
ATS
54%
19-16
55%
18-15
72%
23-9
65%
20-11
TTL
69%
24-11
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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